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The EU and US Are Headed Towards Collapse. And China, Russia?
We have already discussed, in two recent blogs, the demise of the Euro - forecasted for the second half of 2013 - and the collapse of the USA - anticipated around 2017-2018. Let us recall both situations, in which annual data from the World Bank have been used spanning periods from 1970 to 2010. The variables which are taken into account in the analysis of the various countries and [...]
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Technorati Tags: Complexity, critical complexity, governability index, collapse, paralysis |
05 February 2012 | No Comments
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Does a Nobel in Economics Still Make Sense?
Does the Nobel Prize in Economics still make sense today? Given the horrendous state of the World economy, it is clear that the “science of the economy” has failed. The words "economy meltdown" have been pronounced so many times in the past few years that there seems to be little doubt as to how the economy is doing. While other fields of knowledge have scored some spectacular successes, economics seems [...]
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Technorati Tags: Nobe Prize, economics, global meltdown. planetary economy crisis |
22 January 2012 |
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When Will the USA Collapse? Around 2018.
The European Union is in a state of evident and (possibly) irreversible demise. The first and most prominent reflection of this is the weakness of the Euro which we have recently forecasted to "dissolve" around Q3 of 2013. Once the common currency is gone, the union will probably transform into something else that is easier to manage, less complex, less heterogeneous. The structural resilience of the EU as a system [...]
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Technorati Tags: Collapse of the US, complexity, critical complexity, fragility, vulnerability, complexity-based forecasting |
21 January 2012 |
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How to Check If a Company Is Investment-Grade
It is probably easier to decide where not to invest than where to invest. In many cases, the decision is made by examining a corporation's financial and balance statements and, of course, its rating. In theory, an investor can look into any public company's books. In practice this is close to impossible. The rating process is also not excessively transparent. What can a private investor do? Are there any [...]
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Technorati Tags: rating, resilience, investment-grade |
03 January 2012 | No Comments
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