We Find Out Why Complex Systems Malfunction.

In 2018 Ontonix introduces the first Complexity Monitoring Chip.

Science, not Opinions.

  


Excessive Complexity = Risk

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As the 2008 crisis has shown, conventional means of risk assessment, management and rating are not suited for a complex and turbulent economy. They are subjective and produce results that can be manipulated. There is a pressing need to devise more modern, objective and science-based means of dealing with uncertainty and complexity. This is exactly what we do and what we offer.

However, excessive complexity is not only a threat and source of risk in the economy. Modern software-packed products, such as cars, aircraft, IT systems, critical infrastructures, or the IoT, offer many examples of how complexity can become a nightmare. What makes these systems powerful, also makes them fragile. Complexity is a next generation risk which requires a next generation technology and approach.

How complex is the electronics in a car? how much more complexity can it handle? we can measure it.

How complex is the electronics in a car? how much more complexity can it handle? we can measure it.

We detect anomalies without using machine learning for one very good reason: our clients don’t have the luxury of multiple failures to teach a piece of software to recognize it or to establish the presence of rules. Reality doesn’t have the time to wait. A new paradigm is needed. A new paradigm exists.

Next-Generation AI

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Correlations play a central role not just in data or risk analysis. It is paramount to get them right. However, conventional linear correlations may deliver misleading results. This is because they don’t capture nonlinearities in data. Data very rarely has a linear look and feel or a gaussian distribution.

Ontonix has developed a radically innovative and modern generalized correlation, which takes into account non-linear aspects of data. The method relies on a brand new next-generation AI technology which transforms data into images, emulating an expert looking at it. The system actually sees correlations.

Data is analyzed by emulating the brain without the need to build math models.

our ai-based system actually looks at data, ‘seeing’ the correlations therein.

our ai-based system actually looks at data, ‘seeing’ the correlations therein.


The method has its roots in quantum physics, nonlinear mechanics and biology.

In 2015, Ontonix has been the originator and principal author of the World's first 'Business Complexity Assessment' standard, published in Italy by UNI, 11613. The ISO 22375 standard on business complexity, which follows the UNI standard, has been published in 2018.

In 2018 Ontonix launched the World's first Complexity Monitoring Chip, developed in partnership with SAIC and with US DoD funding.

the COmplexity monitoring chip can be incorporated in cars, planes, ships or any critical equipment for real-time fragility early warnings.

Solutions For a Complex World

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While the unprecedented global challenges are a source of both opportunities and threats, traditional technology is unable to deal with the immense complexity of ICT systems or critical infrastructures.

Our solutions have been crafted specifically for a turbulent context, in which nothing stays in equilibrium and where things change with the speed of the internet:

  • pinpointing concentrations of vulnerability

  • reducing the impact of inefficiencies

  • improving profitability

  • extracting new knowledge from data

  • delivering crisis early warnings

The new science is based on model-free methods, which allow us to concentrate on solving real problems not on building exotic mathematical constructs.

Conventional anomaly detection utilizes machine learning to teach a system to recognize anomalous situations. However, in highly complex systems there are thousands of possible anomalies. Besides, our clients can’t afford to see their system fail hundreds of times just to train AI to recognize a potential failure.

Our solution is different. Rapid complexity increases anticipate problems such as shown in the plot below. They provide a formidable early warning signal.

Rapidly rising complexity is a formidable pre-crisis indicator

 

 

 


 Complexity X Uncertainty = Fragility™

The above equation is the Principle of Fragility, which has been coined by Ontonix in 2005. It reveals why in an uncertain context a highly sophisticated and complex business or infrastructure are more exposed, hence more vulnerable. As the uncertainty and turbulence of our World increases, simpler solutions are preferable as they are more resilient.

Over the past few decades new technologies have been accelerating the growth of complexity to levels which are threatening not just the sustainability of our global society but the governability of its critical infrastructures. This is why one cannot design a highly complex system without taking complexity into account.

 

our society depends on a network of networks of networks….

 

In order to counter the negative effects of rapid growth of complexity we first need to perform an in-depth analysis of a business, process or infrastructure. We resort to supercomputers to process hundreds of thousands of variables to deliver a truly systemic and holistic reflection of a business and of its state of health. This requires new technology, beyond statistics, neural nets, cluster analysis, Bayesian methods or machine learning. Our tools are based on a radically innovative model-free approach which allows us to solve problems that are beyond the reach of traditional mathematics.

 

Serious Science Starts When You Begin To Measure

Examples of Complexity Maps, which reveal the structure of complexity and its key contributors.